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Weekly Opinion

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  • The vast majority of analysts are dismissing de-dollarization: here’s what they are missing

    April 24, 2023 • The debate surrounding the de-dollarization has once again gained momentum and the vast majority of commentators dismissing the issue. However, they may be overlooking a few critical developments 
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  • Venture Capital flows have collapsed and that is good news for investors

    April 17, 2023 • In Q1 2023, VC investment has significantly dropped due to central banks tightening financial conditions and higher interest rates. Yet this year and the next could turn into attractive vintages over the long term. 
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  • US Equities are still expensive and further decline may be ahead

    April 3, 2023 • The S&P 500 is 14% down from its Jan '22 all-time high. Yet equities are expensive and investors may consider the possibility of further decline ahead for equity prices. 
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  • Markets may be mispricing Fed’s expectations for at least three reasons

    March 27, 2023 •  
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  • Gold is making new all time high and signal higher inflation for longer

    March 20, 2023 • Gold is up 10% since SVB's collapse and is already making a new all time high on a monthly basis (see chart). Here's why in the current macro regime gold's rise is inevitable. 
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  • Silicon Valley Bank may force the Fed to stand by

    March 13, 2023 • The Fed is in a bind: financial stability or price stability?  
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  • Fed higher for longer?

    March 6, 2023 • As most recent data points to stubborn inflation and a still robust economy, the US federal reserve may need to push rates beyond the widely expected 5-5.25%. 
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  • European equities is the new consensus trade. Is the optimism justified?

    February 27, 2023 • As we entered the new year, European equities enjoyed the widest consensus, with many believing that the worst was behind and that relatively low valuations represented a better value than other markets. The weight of evidence points to a reversal of this trend and fresh lows ahead. 
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  • Innovation in Bitcoin’s technology may significantly expand its use case

    February 20, 2023 • Bitcoin​​'s ​("BTC") ​utility has recently been expanded with an innovation that could accelerate its adoption​. BTC's price has since massively ​outperformed other major crypto assets​ (see chart vs ETH)​. ​Perhaps not a coincidence.​ 
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  • Equities and bonds have been on a rally this year, is the optimism justified?

    February 13, 2023 • Equities and bonds have been on a rally this year as they bet that the Federal Reserve may be nearing the end of its tightening cycle. The optimism may be misplaced. 
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  • Commodities are flat but commodity producers are cash machines

    February 6, 2023 • Commodities have been at the centre of the investing discourse for the past year and yet 12 months on, the index is only marginally positive. The real opportunity for investors has been in the equity of the commodity producers rather than in the commodity themselves. 
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  • Bitcoin’s January Effect

    January 30, 2023 • Bitcoin had a massive January and outperformed all major assets. Does that bode well for the rest of the year? 
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    The Weekly Opinions are concise and data-driven observations pointing to key current issues in financial markets. The premium monthly Swerve Insights are thought pieces articulated into two sections: a monthly macro update and a specific investment idea. All delivered in a concise package to help you stay ahead in the financial landscape of today and to get inspired with new ideas and opportunities.

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